Decision theory, Decision under certainty, decision under uncertainty, manual decision methods, automated decision methods
This course is intended to provide basic knowledge of the main elements involved in decision making, decision modeling, decision analysis approaches, decision trees and the value of information, decision making under certainty, decision making under risk, decision making under uncertainty. This course will focus on decision analysis using simulation, decision trees and sensitivity analysis using MS-Excel.
At the end of this course students should be able to;
1-Building complex models, understand dependent, independent, controllable, and uncontrollable variables
3-use alternative decision variables and outcomes
4- apply decision theory alternatives MaxiMax, MaxiMin, and MiniMax
5-use data tables one and two inputs, manual sensitivity analysis
6-use add-in sensitivity analysis
7solve decision trees problems for decision making
8-evaluates risk simulation problems outcomes, use Monte Carlo simulation and solve for the decision maker
9- select the best among alternative decision
| Activity | Percent (%) |
|---|---|
| Midterm Exam | 30% |
| other -case studies, quizes | 20% |
| Final Exam | 50% |